Astron. Astrophys. 340, L35-L38 (1998) 2. Distance estimation and its pdfThe uncertainties of parallaxes determined by Hipparcos obey a Gaussian law of the form Now, if one transform (2) by changing the independent variable from to , the law of distribution of r is proportional to where is, as in (2), the standard deviation of the observed parallaxes and . For lack of denomination, we shall refer to it as classical . The problem is that although is a pdf, the calculation of the second moments does not converge, a problem dealt in particular by Smith and Eichhorn (1996). This is even more true for the transform of Lutz and Kelker (LK) representation given by formula (1) and which can be inverted directly since no a priori knowledge is assumed, and becomes with the same notations: To analyse these expressions, we introduce a new variable which represents the relative deviation from the true (hence unknown) distance defined as , and a parameter in which the uncertainty of the observed parallax is introduced. We obtain respectively for and where one may chose and in such a way that the maximums of the functions are scaled to 1. The maximums are obtained by differentiating (5) or (6) with respect to x and writing that the derivative is equal to zero. One obtains, for the classical , the relation The maximum corresponds to the larger solution of this equation: In the case of the LK distribution, one has Replacing x in (5) and (6) respectively by (7) and (8), and imposing the value 1, one gets and . The scaled (in this way) functions, and are represented in Fig. 1. One sees that while in the LK solution, the maximum corresponds to a distance larger than , the distribution gives a maximum smaller than (see Fig. 1). Within the assumptions behind each of these distributions, the maximum corresponds to the most probable value. It is tempting to use it as an estimate of the distance. This has been frequently done for the LK distribution and I believe this is dangerous. If is small, both converge to a unique value, equal to zero (distance ). But for large values of , there are increasing differences which depend upon the underlying assumptions.
© European Southern Observatory (ESO) 1998 Online publication: November 9, 1998 |